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Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Dec 7th, 2022

Anita Groves • December 7, 2022

Bank of Canada increases policy interest rate by 50 basis points, continues quantitative tightening.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

December 7, 2022

The Bank of Canada today increased its target for the overnight rate to 4¼%, with the Bank Rate at 4½% and the deposit rate at 4¼%. The Bank is also continuing its policy of quantitative tightening.

Inflation around the world remains high and broadly based. Global economic growth is slowing, although it is proving more resilient than was expected at the time of the October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). In the United States, the economy is weakening but consumption continues to be solid and the labour market remains overheated. The gradual easing of global supply bottlenecks continues, although further progress could be disrupted by geopolitical events.

In Canada, GDP growth in the third quarter was stronger than expected, and the economy continued to operate in excess demand. Canada’s labour market remains tight, with unemployment near historic lows. While commodity exports have been strong, there is growing evidence that tighter monetary policy is restraining domestic demand: consumption moderated in the third quarter, and housing market activity continues to decline. Overall, the data since the October MPR support the Bank’s outlook that growth will essentially stall through the end of this year and the first half of next year.

CPI inflation remained at 6.9% in October, with many of the goods and services Canadians regularly buy showing large price increases. Measures of core inflation remain around 5%. Three-month rates of change in core inflation have come down, an early indicator that price pressures may be losing momentum. However, inflation is still too high and short-term inflation expectations remain elevated. The longer that consumers and businesses expect inflation to be above the target, the greater the risk that elevated inflation becomes entrenched.

Looking ahead, Governing Council will be considering whether the policy interest rate needs to rise further to bring supply and demand back into balance and return inflation to target. Governing Council continues to assess how tighter monetary policy is working to slow demand, how supply challenges are resolving, and how inflation and inflation expectations are responding. Quantitative tightening is complementing increases in the policy rate. We are resolute in our commitment to achieving the 2% inflation target and restoring price stability for Canadians.

Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is January 25, 2023. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the MPR at the same time.

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Anita Groves

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Fixed or Variable Mortgage? How Canada’s Economic Shifts Could Impact Your Decision

By Anita Groves • February 24, 2025

Navigating Mortgage Rates in an Uncertain Market With Canada’s economy facing trade tensions, inflation concerns, and a potential slowdown, mortgage rates are in flux. Borrowers must weigh the risks and rewards of fixed vs. variable rates to make the best decision for their financial future. What’s Driving Mortgage Rate Changes? Several key factors are shaping the mortgage landscape: Trade Uncertainty – New tariffs between the U.S. and Canada could push inflation higher, impacting bond yields and fixed mortgage rates. Inflation Pressures – If inflation stays above the Bank of Canada’s 2% target, rate cuts may be delayed, keeping borrowing costs higher. Recession Concerns – If economic growth slows, the BoC could cut rates, making variable-rate mortgages more attractive. Fixed vs. Variable: Which One is Right for You? 🔒 Fixed-Rate Mortgages: ✅ Predictable payments for peace of mind ✅ Protection from future rate hikes ❌ Typically higher initial rates ❌ Costly penalties if you break your term early 📊 Variable-Rate Mortgages: ✅ Lower starting rates with potential for savings ✅ Easier to break or refinance if needed ❌ Payments can fluctuate with rate changes ❌ Higher risk if inflation pushes rates upward What’s the Best Move Right Now? ✔ Go Fixed if you want stability and protection from rising rates. ✔ Go Variable if you believe rates will drop and you can handle some risk. ✔ Consider a Hybrid Mortgage to get the best of both worlds. Stay Flexible & Informed Mortgage rates are unpredictable, and the best choice today may change in a few months. Working with a mortgage professional can help you navigate these shifts and secure the best deal for your financial future. Need expert guidance? Reach out today to discuss your options!

How to Ensure a Smooth Home Purchase

By Anita Groves • February 19, 2025

Chances are, buying a home is one of the most important financial decisions you’ll make in your life. And as mortgage financing can be somewhat confusing at the best of times, to alleviate some of the stress and to ensure your home purchase goes as smoothly as possible, here are six very high-level steps you should follow. While it might seem like the best place to start the home buying process is to browse MLS on your phone and then contact a Realtor to go out and look at properties, it’s not. First, you’re going to want to work with a licensed independent mortgage professional. When you work with an independent mortgage professional, instead of working with a single bank, you’ll be working with someone who has your best interest in mind and can present you with mortgage options from several financial institutions. The second step in the home buying process is to put together a mortgage plan. Unless you have enough money in the bank to buy a home with cash, you’re going to need a mortgage. And as mortgage financing can be challenging and not so straightforward, the best time to start planning for a mortgage is right now. Don’t make another move until you discuss your financial situation with an independent mortgage professional. It’s never too early to start planning. As part of your mortgage plan, you’ll want to figure out what you can afford on paper, assess your credit score, run some financial scenarios, calculate mortgage payments, and have a clear picture of exactly how much money is required for a downpayment and closing costs. You’ll also be able to discuss which mortgage product is best for you, considering different mortgage terms, types, amortizations, and features. Now, what you qualify to borrow on paper doesn’t necessarily mean you can actually afford the payments in real life. You need to consider your lifestyle and what you spend your money on. Understanding your cash flow is the key. Make a budget to verify you can actually afford your proposed mortgage payments and that you have enough funds to close on the mortgage. No one wants to be house-poor or left scrambling to come up with funds to close at the last minute. If everything looks good at this point, the next step will be to get a preapproval in place. Now, a pre-approval is more than just typing some numbers into a form or online calculator; you need to complete a mortgage application and submit all the documents requested by your mortgage professional. Only proceed with looking at properties when you’ve been given the green light from your mortgage professional. When you’ve found a property to purchase, you’ll work very closely with your mortgage professional to arrange mortgage financing in a short period of time. This is where being prepared pays off. As you’ve already collected and submitted many documents upfront during the preapproval process, you should be set up for success. However, remain flexible and provide any additional documentation required by the lender to secure mortgage financing. Once you have firm lender approval and you’ve removed conditions on the purchase agreement, don’t change anything about your financial situation until you have the keys. Don’t quit your job, don’t take out a new loan, or don’t make a large withdrawal from your bank account. Put your life into a holding pattern until you take possession of your new home. So there you have it, six steps to ensuring a smooth home purchase: Work with an independent mortgage professional. Put together a mortgage plan. Figure out what you can actually afford. Get a pre-approval. Provide the necessary documentation. Don’t change anything about your financial situation until you take possession. If you’d like to discuss your personal financial situation and find the best mortgage product for you, let’s work together. We can figure out a plan to buy a home as stress-free as possible. Please connect anytime; it would be a pleasure to work with you.